SALEM — The newest COVID-19 modeling shows Oregon hospitals may be full with COVID-19 patients for another six weeks.

Peter Graven, a data scientist at Oregon Health and Sciences University, has published his latest modeling that shows the trend of the virus in the state.

“I think by the end of October, middle of November, we should be out of crisis and into more manageable levels of hospitalizations,” he said. “But unfortunately, until that time we still have a lot of people that are in the hospital for COVID.”

He estimates about 26% of Oregonians, which is equivalent to more than a million people, are not vaccinated and have also have not yet been infected by the COVID virus. Graven said those are the people the virus will try to reach. His modeling shows once someone is infected, they pass the virus on to another six or seven others on average.

“Eventually, it will run its course and either you’ll be infected or you’ll be vaccinated,” he said.